Milk flows for the month of August are expected to pick up. Cows were in good condition at mating last season which is expected to result in a tight calving spread, that is the time between the first cows calving within a herd and the last cows calving. Mean calving dates may well be ahead of last season which is likely to inflate milk production in the early season. NZX Agrifax analyst Susan Kilsby is picking that August production could be up on last season due to cows calving earlier and pastures typically being in good condition. But she cautions that it will be unlikely that we will see significant growth in milk supplies during the peak output months of October and November. "Weather conditions were very kind to NZ dairy farmers last spring, so it is unlikely that milk flows will be much ahead of last season during this period, in fact it is quite likely output will trail last season volumes during this period" says Kilsby.