{"id":56293,"date":"2023-01-19T10:00:28","date_gmt":"2023-01-18T21:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.farmersweekly.co.nz\/?p=56293"},"modified":"2023-01-19T10:00:30","modified_gmt":"2023-01-18T21:00:30","slug":"gdt-rests-before-chinas-renewed-demand","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.farmersweekly.co.nz\/markets\/gdt-rests-before-chinas-renewed-demand\/","title":{"rendered":"GDT rests before China\u2019s renewed demand"},"content":{"rendered":"Reading Time: <\/span> < 1<\/span> minute<\/span><\/span>\n

World dairy prices stayed in place in the latest Global Dairy Trade auction, but experienced forecaster Nathan Penny believes China\u2019s economic recovery will lead to a swift rebound in dairy demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Westpac senior agri economist Penny said the abrupt end to China\u2019s covid restrictions had set consumers free to move about, particularly to restaurants and cafes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cAfter losing 2.9% over January as a whole, we expect GDP prices to rebound over the next month or two.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe Lunar New Year and existing stock levels may muddy the waters in the short term, but beyond that we expect underlying Chinese demand to lift.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWith that in mind, from around late February or early March we should have a clearer indication of whether our view holds either way.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Global Dairy Trade price index fell 0.1% in the second January auction, following minus 2.8% on January 3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cheddar jumped 4% and whole milk powder prices were up 0.1%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prices fell for the other three products offered: anhydrous milk fat down 0.9%, butter down 0.6% and skim milk powder down 0.3%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NZX dairy analyst Amy Castleton said the latest GDT was a lack-lustre affair with very little movement in prices compared with the previous auction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cNo-one is sure if China will show up much on the demand front and I am not sure this auction clarified that much.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIt is Lunar New Year so some of the buyers may have been on holiday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe dairy market doesn\u2019t have much direction at present and it will take time (and a bit more data) for that direction to be evident.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The latest GDT was a lack-lustre affair, with very little movement in prices compared with the previous auction.\n","protected":false},"author":22,"featured_media":33423,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_FSMCFIC_featured_image_caption":"","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_nocaption":"","_FSMCFIC_featured_image_hide":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[28,55,97],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t